Briefing
Guidelines
1) Discuss large scale (hemispheric) analyses and
locate major troughs, ridges, jet streams, and short
waves.
a) discuss 12z GFS NA 300 mb heights and isotachs (Troughs, ridges, jet stream)
b) discuss 12z GFS NA 500 mb heights and vort. (Troughs, ridges, shortwaves...do not mention vorticity,flow type - zonal/meridional)
2) Discuss large scale satellite imagery as it relates to large
weather features in the forecast
region.
3)
Show current large scale
surface analysis. (Focus mostly on surface pressure patterns and fronts relevant to our area.)
Other analyses can be found
here. And here.
B.
Current local weather analysis: (2 minutes)
1) Discuss the current and previous obs. (Station history, how did we get here?) (Also show surface plot SJSU)
2) Discuss local satellite imagery (GARP 1KM Vis, zoomed)
3) Optional - Examine local radar if precipitation is occurring in our region.
C. Forecasting: (10 minutes)
1) Discuss model forecasts for your location, use 12Z NAM 212 East/West or GFS East/West and use the "forecast funnel" unless otherwise indicated:
a) 300 mb isotachs (RH if necessary) (jet position and movement, impact on our area, entrance - exit regions)
b) 500 mb heights and vorticity. (RH if necessary) (shorwave trough and ridge movement, vorticity advections - DPVA, DNVA)
c) 700 mb omega from GFS East. (700 RH if necessary) (large scale synoptic lift, what is causing it?)
d) 850 (or 925mb temps) (RH if necessary) (temperature advections - warm and cold, temp changes day to day)
e) Surface temps/precip (From NAM 215 and GFS precip for comparison if necessary) (temp, surface pressure pattern, winds)
f) identify significant NAM GFS model differences if they exist. (flip back and forth or make overlay)
2) Identify the main forecast
problem or problems
3) Discuss model soundings, step through period and discuss progression of weather and pertinent sounding features. (veering and backing, inversions, fronts, moisture layers)
4) Optional - Examine significant interpolated model numbers if helpful (TAMU)
5)
Discuss the GFS, NAM (AVN, ETA) MOS forecasts for your location.
6 ) Make a forecast, enter forecast in computer...yes, during your briefing!!
7) Answer questions