Briefing
Guidelines
1) Discuss large scale (hemispheric) analyses and
locate major troughs, ridges, jet streams, and short
waves.
a) discuss 12z GFS NA 300 mb heights and isotachs (Troughs, ridges, jet stream)
b) discuss 12z GFS NA 500 mb heights and vort. (Troughs, ridges, shortwaves,flow type - zonal/meridional) (Do not mention vorticity!)
2) Discuss large scale satellite imagery as it relates to large
weather features in the forecast
region.
3)
Show current large scale
surface analysis.
Other analyses can be found
here. And here. (Focus on surface pressure patterns and fronts relevant to our area.)
B.
Current local weather analysis: (2 minutes)
1) Discuss the current and previous obs. (Station history, how did we get here?) (Also show surface plot and 24 hour change if noteworthy - SJSU, 24 hour)
2) Identify and discuss interesting/relevant features on local satellite imagery (GARP 1KM Vis, zoomed)
3) Optional - Examine local radar if precipitation is occurring in our region.
C. Forecasting: (10 minutes) Choose the elements below which best aid your description of the forecast
1) Discuss model forecasts for your location, use 12Z NAM 212 East/West or GFS East/West and use the "forecast funnel" unless otherwise indicated:
a) 300 mb isotachs (RH if necessary) (jet position and movement, impact on our area, entrance - exit regions)
b) 500 mb heights and vorticity. (RH if necessary) (shorwave trough and ridge movement, vorticity advections - DPVA, DNVA)
c) 700 mb omega from GFS East/West. (700 RH if necessary) (large scale synoptic lift, what is causing it?)
d) 850 (or 925mb temps) (RH if necessary) (temperature advections - warm and cold, temp changes day to day)
e) Surface pressure/temps/precip (From NAM 215, or 212/GFS if bigger picture useful, and GFS precip for comparison if necessary)
f) identify significant NAM GFS model differences if they exist. (flip back and forth or make overlay)
2) Identify the main forecast
problem or problems
3) Discuss model soundings, step through period and discuss progression of weather and pertinent sounding features. (veering and backing, inversions, fronts, moisture layers)
4) Examine model cross sections to corroborate what you've seen so far. (SJSU)
5) Examine significant interpolated model numbers if helpful (TAMU)
6) Discuss the GFS, NAM (AVN, ETA) MOS forecasts for your location. Optional - discussMOS performance if interesting and list missing day numbers.
7) Make a forecast, enter forecast in computer...yes, during your briefing!!
8) Answer questions
Forecasting Partner/Driver Duties:
0) first, do no harm....no talking, distracting habits, etc
1) help briefer with any special needs
2) download model sounding and configure for display
3) put climo and interpolated numbers on board
4) provide guidance to briefer, if they are accepting
5) understand the briefers briefing so you can drive efficiently
6) rehearse driving once before the briefing starts
7) listen to the briefer during the briefing, follow instructions