San Jose State University MOS Performance Comparison ================================================================================================= Please note: This product is designed for use in conjunction with the National Collegiate Weather Forcasting Contest. The actual Maximum and Minimum temperatures are verified as those occurring beginning at 6z and ending at 6z the following day. MOS forecasts are taken from the 12z products. 'P' next to the 'VER' temperatures indicates a provisional verification, and results may change until after 6z. '*' next to the 'MOS' forecasts indicates an odd-time min or max temperature forecast For more information on the contest, please visit: http://www.ems.psu.edu/NFC/ KCLE MOS Performance ================================================================================================= Frcst. Valid VER VER AVN AVN ETA ETA NGM NGM Date Date Min Max Min Bias Max Bias Min Bias Max Bias Min Bias Max Bias ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10/25/09 10/26/09 41 69 40 -1 64 -5 43 2 66 -3 0 -41 0 -69 10/26/09 10/27/09 48 62 47 -1 63 1 48 -0 63 1 0 -48 0 -62 10/27/09 10/28/09 51 57 48 -3 58 1 49 -2 59 2 0 -51 0 -57 10/28/09 10/29/09 51 62 47 -4 65 3 44 -7 56* -6 0 -51 0 -62 10/29/09 10/30/09 53 76 54 1 70 -6 52 -1 71 -5 0 -53 0 -76 10/30/09 10/31/09 40 67 43* 3 58* -9 40* 0 61* -6 0 -40 0 -67 10/31/09 11/01/09 34 51 39 5 51 -0 37 3 50 -1 0 -34 0 -51 11/01/09 11/02/09 30 57 34 4 57 -0 34 4 55 -2 0 -30 0 -57 11/02/09 11/03/09 34 49 36* 2 47 -2 34* 0 48 -1 0 -34 0 -49 11/03/09 11/04/09 30 42 32 2 45 3 31 1 44 2 0 -30 0 -42 11/04/09 11/05/09 40 50 35 -5 47 -3 35 -5 50 0 0 -40 0 -50 11/05/09 11/06/09 29 51 36 7 51 -0 34 5 49 -2 0 -29 0 -51 11/06/09 11/07/09 47 67 40 -7 61 -6 41 -6 61 -6 0 -47 0 -67 11/07/09 11/08/09 46 71 50 4 68 -3 51 5 65 -6 0 -46 0 -71 11/08/09 11/09/09 55 66 49 -6 68 2 53 -2 67 1 0 -55 0 -66 11/09/09 11/10/09 49 58 44* -5 58 0 46 -3 59 1 0 -49 0 -58 11/10/09 11/11/09 38 54 40* 2 53 -1 40 2 53 -1 0 -38 0 -54 11/11/09 11/12/09 33 52 35 2 53 1 37 4 54 2 0 -33 0 -52 11/12/09 11/13/09 34 65 34 0 58 -7 38 4 60 -5 0 -34 0 -65 11/13/09 11/14/09 45 69 45 0 66 -3 46 1 62 -7 0 -45 0 -69 11/14/09 11/15/09 49 63 44* -5 61 -2 45* -4 60 -3 0 -49 0 -63 11/15/09 11/16/09 46 49 42 -4 53 4 39 -7 52 3 0 -46 0 -49 11/16/09 11/17/09 43 58 39 -4 55 -3 37 -6 54 -4 0 -43 0 -58 11/17/09 11/18/09 47 57 43 -4 59 2 40 -7 53 -4 0 -47 0 -57 11/18/09 11/19/09 44 54 45* 1 56 2 44* -0 55 1 0 -44 0 -54 11/19/09 11/20/09 44 50 43 -1 51 1 39 -5 50 0 0 -44 0 -50 ================================================================================================= Last 10-days Average Bias: -1.30 -0.57 -1.80 -1.77 -42.30 -57.07 Last 10-days Root-Mean-Square Error: 2.86 3.13 4.60 3.61 42.61 57.43